Science & technology

Svante Arrhenius calculates how carbon dioxide warms the planet

1896

In 1896 the Swedish chemist Svante Arrhenius published a paper, after months of hand calculations, estimating that halving the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere would lower the temperature of the Earth by about 4 to 5 degrees Celsius, and that doubling it would raise it by about 5 to 6 degrees. He also realised that burning coal would increase carbon dioxide, but thought that the change would take thousands of years and would be beneficial in a cold climate. Modern estimates of the warming caused by doubling CO2 are lower, between 2.5 and 4 degrees, but his principle holds. He won the 1903 Nobel Prize in Chemistry for other work.

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This moment belongs to the Industrial era (1760 CE to 1914 CE), steam, factories and revolutions. You can also browse everything in the 19th century.